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Supply Of Description: For Full Details Of This Procurement, Including Links To Relevant Documents And Information On Questions And Answers, Visit: Https://Grdc.Com.Au/Research/Applying-And-Reporting/Current-Procurement/Open-Tenders/Spatially-And-Temporally-Evaluating-The-Skill-Of-Seasonal-Forecasting-Systems-To-Aid-With-On-Farm-Decision-Making Background Climate-Variability Has A Significant Impact On Farm-Business Profitability. While Notable Improvements Have Been Made In Seasonal Forecasting With General Circulation Models Gcms, Growers And Producers Are Frustrated By The Inherently Variable Skill Within And Between Models From One Season To The Next And In Different Locations I.E. Different Grid Cells For Which Forecasts Are Issued. A Recently Completed Rural R&D For Profit Project On Improving Seasonal Forecasting Rdc00014 Completed An Assessment Of Seasonal Forecast Skill For A Small Number Of Gcms Where Forecasts Were Issued At Key Decision Points For Aiding With On-Farm Decision Making. The Models Evaluated Showed Considerable Discrepancies In Skill When Forecasting Rainfall Terciles Based On A Statistical Analysis Of Forecast ‘Hit-Rate’.

GTN :16677419
Australia - Australia

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